Nate "The Great" Marquardt (-310) vs. Chael Sonnen (+255)

The biggest fight of the night at UFC 109 will be the middleweight bout between Nate “The Great” Marquardt and Chael Sonnen . Both fighters are top level middleweights and have not disappointed fans in the past.

When comparing the statistics of Marquardt and Sonnen one would think that the betting lines would be closer than they currently are, however, the fact that Marquardt is a better grappler may have been the determining factor.

Sonnen is a good Greco-Roman wrester, who has wins over former WEC champion Paulo Filho, former Strikeforce champion Renato Sobral, former IFL champion Dan Miller, Jason Miller and Yushin Okami. Even though Sonnen does not have the grappling game he is a better wrestler than Marquardt. He was a two time National Champion, NCAA All-American and he was a US Olympic team alternate. Even though Sonnen has the wrestling advantage in this fight Marquardt’s dominance on the ground will nullify his game. Marquardt is a very good ground fighter on his back and if Sonnen was to use his wrestling in an attempt to take Marquardt, it will be his undoing.

Despite his credentitals Sonnen will resort to fighting Marquardt in a striking battle. Unfortunately for Sonnen, Marquardt is also a better striker and will use his long legs to his advantage. Though Sonnen has decent striking skills he is more of a pressure fighter than anything—he likes to push the pace and use his size and strength to bully his opponents. The difference with his next fight is that he will not be able to intimidate Marquardt. Marquardt has the striking advantage and grappling advantage and it is only a matter of time before Marquardt is able to KO Sonnen.

Sonnen has a well-rounded skill set and he is good at a lot of things, but not great at anything. He is a pressure fighter and is able to win fights because of his tenacity—he has four decision victories in his last five outings. If Sonnen is to stand a chance in this fight he will need to outwork Marquardt as he does not have the grappling nor striking power to beat Marquardt outright.

Sonnen will try to keep this fight standing as his last few losses in MMA have come by submission to high level grapplers. When Sonnen faced such opponents in the past, it took away from his wrestling game and he was forced to resort to striking. However, Marquardt is a very effective striker against whom Sonnen cannot defend.

This fight will most likely go to a decision which is the perfect prop bet to make. The sports betting lines are pretty steep at -310 but Marquardt has the advantage in almost all areas and the areas in which he does not dominate will be nullified by his dominate grappling.

Look for Marquardt to Win this Fight with a 3 Round Unanimous Decision

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